Typhoon Lawin Update - Tuesday 18/10/2016

Forecast positions

  • 24 hour (Wednesday morning): 330 km east of Casiguran, Aurora
  • 48 hour (Thursday morning): 95 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
  • 72 hour (Friday morning): 565 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte (outside PAR)
  • 96 hour (Saturday morning): 735 km northwest of Basco, Batanes (outside PAR)
  • 120 hour (Sunday morning): 790 km north of Basco, Batanes (outside PAR)

Tropical cyclone warning signal

Signal No. 1 (30-60 kph expected in 36 hours)
  • Ilocos Norte
  • Apayao
  • Cagayan including Calayan group of Islands
  • Batanes group of Islands
  • Isabela
  • Kalinga
  • Abra
  • Ilocos Sur
  • Mt. Province
  • Ifugao
  • Quirino
  • Nueva Vizcaya
  • Benguet
  • La Union
  • Aurora
  • Nueva Ecija
  • Pangasinan
  • Catanduanes
  • Polillo Islands
PAGASA has advised against sea travel over the eastern seaboard of southern Luzon and the northern and eastern seaboards of Samar. — Source Philippine Star
BAGUIO CITY, Oct. 18 (PIA) - - The Cordillera Regional Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council advises the public to remain on alert and strengthen preparedness efforts for Typhoon Lawin.  
With PAGASA forecast that Lawin may develop into a super typhoon, the CRDRRMC convened  on Monday  a Pre-Disaster Risk Assessment (PDRA), simultaneous with the typhoon Karen post – assessment meeting.
In the PDRA, Larry Esperanza of PAGASA Baguio outlined that unlike “Karen” that started as an LPA before it intensified into a typhoon, tropical cyclone Lawin is already packing typhoon intensity when it entered PAR Monday afternoon and may intensify into a super typhoon category.  
Based on 5pm PAGASA forecast, Lawin already had a maximum wind of 185 kph near the center and gustiness up to 230 kph and is moving West Northwest at 25kph and forecasted to make landfall in Cagayan area the early hours of Thursday.  It poses threat to Northern Luzon including the Cordillera Region.
The same forecast shows that all provinces in Cordillera including Baguio City will be affected.  
CRDRRMC chair and Office of Civil Defense Regional Director Andrew Alex Uy called on council member agencies to work on massive public information dissemination on the impending threat of typhoon Lawin; to capitalize intensified efforts on preventive and preparedness measures; ensure the activation of all local DRRM Council and disaster operations center; prepositioning of regional resources; inspection and activation of all identified and available evacuation centers.
They are further advised  to ensure the testing, activation and connectivity of all back – up communication systems especially of the Search, Rescue and Retrieval cluster of the council;  the prepositioning and availability of back –up communications in all provinces; and to form Incident Management Teams in the region that are set for possible activation anytime.
 ‘We must learn from our past experiences and prepare for the worst case scenario, or preparedness effort that can respond to a tropical cyclone warning signal number 4 or even 5, as we may face a typhoon Yolanda like intensity here’, Uy stressed.
Uy advised the people of Cordillera to remain alert, strengthen family preparedness measures and to continuously monitor weather updates and public advisories.
He earlier  recommended  cancellation or postponement of scheduled activities  this  week  for safety reasons. (Source – PIA CAR)